The Spread Lab
The Spread Lab

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71% NFL spread accuracy on high-confidence picks

Our machine learning models find value the market misses—backed by rigorous backtesting on 5+ years of data.

7,500+ games backtestedNFL, CFB, CBB models+10% ROI on NFL picks

Backtested Performance

71%

NFL Spread Accuracy

High-confidence picks

65%

CFB Spread Accuracy

6,466 games backtested

63%

NFL Totals Accuracy

Weather-based edge

10%

NFL ROI

At standard -110 odds

Walk-forward validated across 4 seasons (2021-2024)—only signals that replicate in backtest

Why Our Predictions Win

Machine learning trained on comprehensive sports data to find edges the market misses.

Proven Edge Detection

We analyze millions of data points to find specific market inefficiencies—like NFL spreads where our ELO-based signal hits 71% accuracy.

Quality Over Quantity

We only flag games with statistically significant edges. Fewer picks, but each one backed by multi-year validation data.

5-Year Validation

Every edge is tested across 2021-2025 seasons. No single outlier year—consistent performance through different market conditions.

Clear Betting Rules

No black box predictions. We tell you exactly why a game qualifies: spread range, total line, or other specific conditions.

Statistical Confidence

All edges have 95% confidence intervals above the 52.4% breakeven line. Real math, not marketing claims.

Track Your Edge

Built-in bet tracking, ROI analytics, and performance dashboards to monitor your success over time.

How It Works

From raw data to actionable predictions in three simple steps.

1

Edge Discovery

We analyze 5+ years of historical data to find specific market inefficiencies that persist across multiple seasons.

  • 6,400+ game analysis
  • Multi-year validation
  • Statistical significance
2

Daily Scanning

Each day we scan upcoming games against our proven edge conditions—NFL weather patterns, ELO value plays, and CFB spread picks.

  • Clear qualifying rules
  • No black box
  • Transparent conditions
3

Focused Picks

You get only games with verified edges. Fewer picks than competitors, but each one backed by rigorous backtesting.

  • 71% NFL spread accuracy
  • 65% CFB accuracy
  • ROI tracking
"The key to long-term betting success isn't picking winners—it's finding value where the market is wrong."

Our ML models are trained to find exactly that—edges the market misses.

71%
NFL Spread Edge
65%
CFB Spread Edge
63%
NFL Totals Edge

Ready to Beat the Spread?

Join the waitlist for ML-powered picks backed by rigorous backtesting. Limited spots available.

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